Bayern Munich and Dortmund both failed in the Champions League, but the data for the El Clasico shows that Bayern Munich won 2-1[yuyi]
2025-04-21
At 0:30 a.m. on April 13th, Beijing time, the 29th round of the 2024-25 Bundesliga season will witness the German National Derby, with Bayern Munich hosting Borussia Dortmund at the Allianz Arena. Both of the traditional Bundesliga giants suffered crushing defeats in the first leg of the Champions League quarter-finals on midweek. Bayern Munich lost 1-2 at home to the Italian powerhouse Inter Milan, while Dortmund lost 0-4 away to the Spanish giant Barcelona. The prospects for both teams to advance are not optimistic. Distracted by the crucial second leg of the Champions League quarter-finals next week, Dortmund, which is competing for a European spot, and Bayern Munich, which is vying for the league title, both seem to be in a situation where they cannot afford to lose.

After losing 0-4 away to Barcelona in the Champions League quarter-finals on midweek, Dortmund's hopes of advancing have become dim and they need to rely on a miracle. In the Bundesliga, Dortmund have won their last two games against Mainz and Freiburg in a row. They are now four points behind Leipzig, who are in fifth place. If they want to compete for a place in next season's Champions League, Dortmund cannot make more mistakes. After all, Dortmund had already paid too much under Sahin's coaching before, and the defender Schlottbeck suffered a torn meniscus in his left knee, which led to his season being ruled out. With little hope of advancing to the Champions League, it seems that Dortmund's most realistic goal is to strive for a place in European competitions. Dortmund's last six away games in the Bundesliga have shown an alternating pattern of wins and losses, with extremely unstable performance. Once they concede the first goal, they have little chance of winning.
Currently, well-known institutions have set odds combinations of 1.42 (Bayern Munich's win), 5.25 (draw), and 6.50 (Dortmund's win), expressing support for the league leader Bayern Munich, whose home win rate has reached 85%. Among the odds, the lowest is 1 to 9 for Bayern Munich to win 2-1, followed closely by 1 to 9.50 for a complete 2-0 victory, 1 to 10 for a 3-1 win, 1 to 11 for both a 3-0 win and a 1-1 draw, 1 to 12 for a 1-0 win, 1 to 15.00 for a 2-2 draw, and 1 to 19 for Dortmund to win 2-1. The remaining odds are above 1 to 20. Overall, there is a high opinion of Bayern's home games.
Although Bayern Munich has failed to win any of their last two Bundesliga matches against Dortmund, they have won nine of their last ten home games against Dortmund. At this crucial moment on their path to the Bundesliga title, Bayern places more emphasis on the El Clasico. Dortmund, who have been inconsistent in their recent away performances in the league, have little chance of making a comeback.